A lake effect snow warning for Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus and southern Erie counties remains in effect from 7 tonight through 7 a.m. Friday.
Flurries with risk of snow squalls and local blowing snow continue today and accumulate local amounts of 10 to 15 cm.
Things turn sharply colder with flurries Tuesday night, and some lake effect snow that will continue right into Friday.
An additional 1 to 2 inches of snow is possible in Livingston County on Thursday. This will mark the leading edge of a notable change in our weather pattern, bringing to an end the long series of relatively mild but not excessively warm days we have had and replacing it with the breezy winter chill. This would also allow for light snow showers through north central Vermont and into the Northeast Kingdom with light accumulation possible. The lakes will enhance some of the snow up north, but we think there is potential for a coating to an inch over about 50% of the state on more insulated surfaces.
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Areas outside the narrow bands will likely see very little snow or no snow at all.
It is interesting to note that we have not had a lot of snow Christmas Day alone. This is not a big snow accumulation event, but the chances of snow look better. But...we will see how the system progresses. Lake temperatures are still in the mid 40s and the air mass arriving will be in the 30s during the day and teens at night!
In the extended period, we still see nothing spectacular until we get closer to the 18th and 19th.
Friday: A 20 percent chance of snow after noon, high near 29.