'A referendum on me': Trump makes final push ahead of United States midterms

Some 250,000 jobs were created last month beating expectations

Some 250,000 jobs were created last month beating expectations

That narrative is based largely on national polls, and caution should be urged. There's no downside to being wrong when it comes to election predictions (how many people who soiled their sheets in 2016 guaranteeing a Clinton victory are still on TV predicting a "blue wave"?), and it's mainly done from a writing standpoint as clickbait.

This is the outcome that most experts, and polls, are predicting once the midterms are said and done. So everyone should be prepared for surprises - because there always are some.

Among likely voters, 50 percent prefer a Democratic Congress, while 43 percent prefer a Republican Congress, according to the final Wall Street Journal-NBC poll before the election, released Sunday morning.

"This election will decide whether we build on this extraordinary prosperity we have created", Trump told a cheering crowd in Macon, Georgia, warning that Democrats would "take a giant wrecking ball to our economy".

But he again reserved his most vitriolic language for immigration, repeatedly prompting loud boos as he warned that if Democrats win, they would invite murderers to come into the United States to kill men, women and children. Republicans now have a 47-seat majority in the House, so Democrats need to take away 24 GOP seats to gain control.

Is the economy strong enough to help the Republicans Tuesday and hurt the Democrats? Trump continues to fight to secure the Southern border and fix an immigration system considered by many to be fundamentally flawed.

Two who have tried are Beto O'Rourke, a Democrat running for the US Senate in Texas, and Andrew Gillum, the Democratic candidate for Florida governor, both of whom regularly criticise the president's policies and tone. All of those states are polling competitively, but it's not inconceivable that they'd hold all four (Republicans hold a tiny lead in the polling average in only one of the four - Missouri). And where do a lot of those women live?

Excitement is abound south of the border as Americans get set to elect new members to the Republican-controlled House of Representatives and Senate on Tuesday.

Other close races in the state include GOP Rep. Jeff Denham's re-election bid against challenger Josh Harder in the 10th and Rep. Steve Knight facing Democrat Katie Hill in the 25th. "And at the most extreme, they're going to expect the Democrats who, if they win majority in the House, to go ahead and impeach the president". FiveThirtyEight said Monday that Democrats, with 49 seats, have a one in seven chance to take control of the Senate.

But on the eve of the election, in a packed airport hangar in Cleveland and at other Trump rallies across the nation, the stakes are different: a vote to protect a leader they see as under siege, whose inflammatory rhetoric is a necessary price for a norm-shattering era of change.

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If that happens, he intends to claim victory, arguing his efforts on the campaign trail narrowed GOP losses and helped them hold the Senate, according to a person familiar with Trump's thinking who asked for anonymity because the person was not authorized to discuss White House conversations by name.

"They're telling us that the single most, grave threat to America is a bunch of poor, broke, impoverished, refugees".

Turnout is traditionally low in the USA mid-terms, with the 2014 election seeing a post-war record low of just 37 percent. Meanwhile, young voters and Latinos would have to stay home.

"[It will mean] he can fire Jeff Sessions and essentially end the Mueller investigation and replace him with the attorney general of his choosing". The fate of that agenda is on the ballot as Americans head to the polls on Election Day.

The survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 28-November 1, 2018 by Rasmussen Reports.

This is not seen as the likeliest of scenarios, but it's not out of the realm of possibility either. The new interpretation will govern how the USA government considers migrants' use of nearly any government benefit as criteria for determining who may enter or remain in the United States. It would have to trigger a degree of soul-searching - in at least some Republican corners.

Tuesday's elections will also test the strength of a Trump-era political realignment defined by evolving divisions among voters by race, gender and especially education.

"This is a very important election", he added.

In the gubernatorial election, Democrat J.B. Pritzker will defeat Republican Gov. Bruce Rauner and it won't be close.

Additionally, early and absentee ballots can get counted slowly and there is growing concern that many voters' absentee and mailed ballots could be rejected. Specifically, it could all come down to Mississippi. The divisions exposed and expanded over the past few weeks seem certain to last well beyond Election Day. The consequences would be enormous, the rancor pitched and the tension thick.

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